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Jul 15
2011
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The Property MarketPosted by michael@visionms.com.au in Untagged |
The Property bubble is collapsing. Property is going to skyrocket. The Brisbane market is dead. Brisbane is set for a boom.
Ok - I'm confused!
There are all of these talking heads trying to predict the market, each contradicting what the other is saying. It's the same with the future of broking - I've seen articles telling me that the mortgage broking industry in Australia is a dead duck and then others telling me that it's a wonderful time to be in the business.
When you stop and think about it, regardless of the pedigree of the author - these articles are really the opinions of the author - none of us have a crystal ball. I know that many of these articles will quote statistics, trends and forecasts, but again, those figures are subject to interpretation - I should know as I spent some time working as Business Analyst for a bank - the figures will say what you influence them to say.
So my advice to my clients is this. When you buy property, have a clear understanding of why you are buying.
Is it a return on rental yield - if that's the case then weigh up the purchase and holding costs vs the rental yield and if these figures make sense then buy.
Are you buying for capital growth? If so then plan for the long term and be delightfully surprised if the market moves quicker in the short-term.
But, whatever you do, don't buy a property with the mindset that it will double in price in 2 years. Yes, this has happened in the past, and yes it MAY happen again in the future but don't base your investment strategy upon this unless you have some brilliant information about the demographics of the area you are buying in (for example paying $60k for a house in Dirranbandi knowing that a mine employing 5,000 people will be starting there in a years time, driving up the demand for local properties.




